Penarol vs Progreso — Prediction, Odds & Head-to-Head Stats
Primera División — Uruguay
Penarol face Progreso in Primera División on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 21:30. Our prediction model gives Penarol a 45% chance to win, Progreso 10%, with a 45% chance of a draw. Double chance : Penarol or draw. In their last 10 meetings, Penarol won 9, Progreso won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.
Predicted Markets — Prediction: Penarol vs Progreso
Penarol
76%
odds 1.33
Double Chance 1X
92%
odds 1.02
Total Over 1.5
77%
Total Over 2.5
53%
Total Under 3.5
69%
Both Teams Score
38%
odds 2.09
Home Team Total Over 1.5
66%
odds 1.58
Away Team Total Under 1.5
89%
odds 1.12
Community Prediction
Penarol
Draw
Progreso
45%
45%
10%
Advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw
Predicted goals: Penarol -2.5 — -2.5 Progreso
Head-to-Head — Last 10
9
Penarol
1
Draws
0
Progreso
Team Form — Last 5
| Penarol | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| 87% | Form | 60% |
| 100% | Attack | 100% |
| 50% | Defense | 0% |
| 1.8 / 0.8 | Goals for/against | 1.6 / 1.6 |
Comparison
| Penarol | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Form | 41% |
| 53% | Attack | 47% |
| 67% | Defense | 33% |
| 72% | Poisson Distribution | 28% |
| 100% | Head-to-Head | 0% |
| 82% | Goals | 18% |
| 67% | Total | 33% |