Derby vs Stoke City — Prediction, Odds & Head-to-Head Stats
Derby face Stoke City in Championship on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00. Our prediction model gives Derby a 10% chance to win, Stoke City 45%, with a 45% chance of a draw. Winner : Stoke City. In their last 10 meetings, Derby won 5, Stoke City won 3, and 2 ended in a draw.
Predicted Markets — Prediction: Derby vs Stoke City
Stoke City
38%
odds 2.40
Double Chance 12
73%
odds 1.29
Total Over 1.5
70%
Total Under 2.5
56%
Total Under 3.5
77%
Both Teams Score
50%
odds 1.72
Home Team Total Under 1.5
67%
odds 1.48
Away Team Total Under 1.5
64%
odds 1.59
Community Prediction
Derby
Draw
Stoke City
10%
45%
45%
Advice: Winner : Stoke City
Predicted goals: Derby -1.5 — -3.5 Stoke City
Head-to-Head — Last 10
5
Derby
2
Draws
3
Stoke City
Team Form — Last 5
| Derby | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| 13% | Form | 87% |
| 30% | Attack | 100% |
| 20% | Defense | 60% |
| 0.6 / 1.6 | Goals for/against | 2.2 / 0.8 |
Comparison
| Derby | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| 13% | Form | 87% |
| 21% | Attack | 79% |
| 33% | Defense | 67% |
| 33% | Poisson Distribution | 67% |
| 50% | Head-to-Head | 50% |
| 58% | Goals | 42% |
| 35% | Total | 65% |